Utopia Talk - Politics - Yield curve inversion

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Utopia Talk / Politics / Yield curve inversion

Rugian
rank Fri Mar 22 17:08:34 2019
Three-month Treasuries are currently at 2.47%
Ten-year Treasuries at 2.44%

So. Is this the market being overly panicky about this week's Fed announcement, or are we all well and truly fucked?

jergul
rank Fri Mar 22 17:18:24 2019
I can think of a trillion reasons for why a recession seems unlikely.

But those same trillion reasons can help explain the inversion.

Trump has alienated big institutional investors and they are drawing down treasury purchases (which in turn impact on auction pricing).

swordtail
rank Fri Mar 22 17:21:23 2019
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lwx2ce_AyOE

jergul
rank Fri Mar 22 23:47:02 2019
The other part is of course that a dovish fed impacts on foreign ROI expectations. A stronger dollar gives higher returns in domestic currencies.

show deleted posts

Rugian rank	Fri Mar 22 17:08:34 2019 Three-month Treasuries are currently at 2.47% Ten-year Treasuries at 2.44% So. Is this the market being overly panicky about this week's Fed announcement, or are we all well and truly fucked?
jergul rank	Fri Mar 22 17:18:24 2019 I can think of a trillion reasons for why a recession seems unlikely. But those same trillion reasons can help explain the inversion. Trump has alienated big institutional investors and they are drawing down treasury purchases (which in turn impact on auction pricing).
swordtail rank	Fri Mar 22 17:21:23 2019 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lwx2ce_AyOE
jergul rank	Fri Mar 22 23:47:02 2019 The other part is of course that a dovish fed impacts on foreign ROI expectations. A stronger dollar gives higher returns in domestic currencies.
	show deleted posts

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