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Utopia Talk / Politics / Bidenpool: Length of His Presidency
Renzo Marquez
Member
Wed Jan 20 09:38:19
I'm guessing Harris slides in Summer 2022.
Renzo Marquez
Member
Wed Jan 20 09:46:22
Bunch of 2024 markets already open on Predictit.

http://www...blican-presidential-nomination

Trump not being the nominee is a virtual certainty but the payoff is minimal and might take a long time. DeSantis and Cotton are probably the best bets from this group.
Dakyron
Member
Wed Jan 20 12:15:48
Can you bet on Biden not finishing his term?

I would say Winter, 2023. Long enough to denounce CTs, but still give Harris plenty of time to establish herself before 2024 election.
obaminated
Member
Wed Jan 20 12:34:24
Yeah sometime in early 2023. It would be way to risky to have her become president before the 2022 elections because she is immensely unlikeable.
hood
Member
Wed Jan 20 12:40:50
"she is immensely unlikeable"

It didn't stop the former president.
Renzo Marquez
Member
Wed Jan 20 12:44:36
Dak, not directly on PredictIt yet as far as I can see. Closest is who will be the Dem nominee.

http://www...cratic-presidential-nomination

Harris seems like a good bet here. Or even putting money on both Harris and Biden. Would be shocking if someone else is the nominee. But as with the Trump not being the nominee side, money is likely to be tied up for a long time before the price moves to where it should be.
Renzo Marquez
Member
Wed Jan 20 12:46:09
hood
Member Wed Jan 20 12:40:50
"It didn't stop the former president."

True, but Obama at least won a lot of primaries. Despite fawning media coverage, Harris got rekt and had to drop out before they even started to prevent embarrassment.
Renzo Marquez
Member
Wed Jan 20 12:47:18
Also, Obama didn't have to blow Willie Brown (though he probably wanted to).
hood
Member
Wed Jan 20 12:58:52
I'm clearly referring to Trump's disapproval rating, thanks.
jergul
large member
Wed Jan 20 14:20:24
December 2026 is the best time for Biden to step down.
jergul
large member
Wed Jan 20 14:21:12
Correction* January 22. 2026*
Rugian
Member
Wed Jan 20 15:55:28
I think Biden will be president for all four years. I think Harris will effectively be running the executive branch by mid-2023.

The presidential race proved that Biden can spend 90% of his days hidden in a basement and voters won't mind. That will continue to be the modus operandi of his handlers as his brain slowly turns to jello.
CrownRoyal
Member
Wed Jan 20 16:05:03
Not a bad scenario, I was afraid that Biden will tell Americans to drink bleach. This is an improvement
Renzo Marquez
Member
Wed Jan 20 16:19:29
The wildcard is Biden's adrenochrome supply. Will Netanyahu let it flow?
Cherub Cow
Member
Fri Jan 29 23:40:00
I can’t believe I almost missed a Dead Pool thread that narrows in on one of my picks! :D
I’m calling August 2021 for Biden. He’ll probably slip in the shower or something trivial. COVID would be a death sentence, though. His last words will be something irrational, like, “Tell Merrill to swing away,” and Jill Biden will tell everyone that his wish was for America to not have a senate and to add two states.
Dukhat
Member
Sat Jan 30 00:10:45
Biden takes care of himself. The thing that will get him is cancer which is rather unpredictable.

I'd give a greater chance of Trump croaking in the next 8 years.
Cherub Cow
Member
Sat Jan 30 03:21:46
<8 years is a pretty unimpressive prediction for anyone that old. Call a specific year! ;p
Nimatzo
iChihuaha
Sat Jan 30 03:38:36
”His last words will be something irrational, like, “Tell Merrill to swing away,”

People who are posessed by the holy ghost, often say things that doesn’t make sense at the time, but turns out to be very important later on in the story. If god doesn’t want a senate, then who are you do question god?
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