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Utopia Talk / Politics / 15 days to stop the spread (cov cont.)
Rugian
Member
Thu Jul 29 13:04:57
Fuck all of you who still fear this virus, or think we have to maintain restrictions until we have 100% eliminated the disease, or who believe fully vaccinated people should still be forced to wear masks, or advocate for mandatory vaccinations or vaccine passports (even though the vaccine sucks so much that you still have to wear masks even after getting it), or who say that peoples' liberties should be tossed aside if even one person remains at risk of dying of Covid, or who refuse to let life just return to normal after 18 months of dealing with this thing.

Fuck all of you.
tumbleweed
the wanderer
Thu Jul 29 13:14:02
& fuck all of your side for all the variants you'll create
Rugian
Member
Thu Jul 29 13:18:58
Waaaah variants

Covid is an endemic disease, it's going to with us forever. Your side is the one that unrealistically thinks that eradication is the goal at this point.
Rugian
Member
Thu Jul 29 13:24:12
Oh no, hospitalizations are up an infinitesimal amount due to Delta, virtually all of whom are people who willingly made a conscious decision to not get the vaccine! Time to reverse reopening and reimpose mask mandates! "The Science" (TM) says so!

Jesus Chris. You'd think people never got sick before 2020.
Dukhat
Member
Thu Jul 29 13:28:45
Nobody will read your rant dumbass.
tumbleweed
the wanderer
Thu Jul 29 13:39:25
he was admitting Trump was a total fucking unfit piece of shit liar all those times he said 'it's going away'
Dukhat
Member
Thu Jul 29 13:55:47
Lots of people are also immunocompromised or cannot take a vaccine yet (children).

Also, I would like to save as many Americans as possible. Just because you are stupid enough to believe propaganda against the vaccine doesn't mean you deserve to die.

Rugian thinks everyone thinks like him and only cares about their own shitty in-group. Normal people don't behave as selfishly as Republicans. Get it through your thick skull Rugina.
Nimatzo
iChihuaha
Thu Jul 29 14:58:18
Dukhat
Member Mon Apr 20 01:53:12
I'm not crying crocodile tears for you. You deserve it for supporting a buffoon. All the millions of other families and majority of Americans that tried to stop this from happening do not.

So fuck you.


Dukhat
Member Mon Apr 20 01:55:20
Next time you start drinking, be sure to leave a loaded gun next to you also so you have the tools to join your dad sooner rather than later.

Dukhat
Member Tue Apr 21 01:41:21
And it's not hypocrisy when I make absolutely no attempt to try to change the cuckservatives. I only wish to shit on them even further so they fall further into a rage and hopefully kill themselves like many incels end up doing.
hood
Member
Thu Jul 29 15:18:05
"Covid is an endemic disease"

It didn't have to be.
Rugian
Member
Thu Jul 29 15:22:35
It did have to be. It's more contagious than flu, you may as well have tried to eradicate the common cold.

As for Dukhat and his shocking lack of self-awareness...what else is new.
Rugian
Member
Thu Jul 29 15:25:05
Though of course, his "think of the children!" appeal is total bullshit, since kids have only an extremely low chance of being seriously affected by Covid.

Of course there's not ZERO risk...that's life though. Everything we do has SOME risk, but we accept it and move on.

Learn to move on, you psychopathic empathy-less fake billionaire.
jergul
large member
Thu Jul 29 18:14:35
Jergul: 50% after January 1st 2022
Ruggy: 50% before January 1st 2022
Sammy: 50% before June 1st 2021 - off 9%
Fowyn: 50% before November 1st 2021
Habebe: 50% before July 1st 2021 - off 3%
State Department: 50% by May 19th 2021 - off 12.2%
Obam: 50% before May 15th 2021 - off 13.8%

===============
===============

Ruggy
Take the vaccine so a kid does not have to.
Pillz
Member
Thu Jul 29 18:27:45
Jergul is injected daily with semen
Forwyn
Member
Thu Jul 29 18:34:30
US at 49.4%

jergul proven wrong in just a few short days
Forwyn
Member
Thu Jul 29 18:35:41
Also US GDP still over 25% of global
Habebe
Member
Thu Jul 29 18:46:34
I was off further than I expected, I expected the first week or so of July to hit it.
jergul
large member
Thu Jul 29 19:07:01
Forwyn
You were not exactly on target either.

And who the fuck understands why the USD has not tanked yet anyway. Why not double down with a 6 trillion dollar deficit next years as this years 3 trillion obviously did not cut it. in fact, why not just bury the entire country physically 6 feet deep in 50 dollar bills. I am sure the printing presses could handle it.
jergul
large member
Thu Jul 29 19:08:12
Still, as Nekran said, my point stands. Scary how bad you are at getting people vaccinated when vaccines are not the limiting factor.
jergul
large member
Thu Jul 29 19:09:42
I seriously doubt I will be many percentage points off target.
Habebe
Member
Thu Jul 29 19:30:44
"And who the fuck understands why the USD has not tanked yet anyway. "

Greenspan?...

As far as debt goes, everything is relative perhaps.Most of the world is massively in debt. And most ofnthe world doesnt have things going for it as much as the US does, your always quick to point out the benefits of.producing the worlds reserve currency.
Forwyn
Member
Thu Jul 29 20:10:08
"You were not exactly on target either."

Lol. I said we would hit 50% by Halloween.

We will hit 50% by Halloween.

I gave the earliest date of the group that will hit the goal target.
Y2A
Member
Thu Jul 29 20:29:04
what restrictions? how are you actually being impacted by the CDC "recommending" you wear a mask? grow the fuck up.
Habebe
Member
Thu Jul 29 21:33:57
"how are you actually being impacted by the CDC "recommending" you wear a mask?"

That recomendation killed my mother and raped my father.
jergul
large member
Fri Jul 30 05:52:28
Forwyn
We will see how many percentage points you are off.
Rugian
Member
Fri Jul 30 06:27:40
"how are you actually being impacted by the CDC "recommending" you wear a mask?"

"New CDC guidelines set off rush to reimpose mask mandates"

http://www...rush-to-reimpose-mask-mandates
Hrothgar
Member
Fri Jul 30 08:54:42
These kind of posts are all fun in games until whoever made the post is the one struggling for oxygen in a hospital bed with covid. THEN suddenly it's all "is it too late for the vaccine"? "Should have worn my mask". "Don't make my mistake..."

Selfish, self absorbed, the universe revolves around me, viral science failure pricks.

Q: If 1 out of 50 unvaccinated, novel (first) covid infected need hospital help (2%) how many infections per week does it take to ruin the local health care system?

A: MAGA, AR-15s, and poorly tuned diesel pickup trucks.
Nimatzo
iChihuaha
Fri Jul 30 09:16:18
Hrothgar
You are getting fooled by highly publicized stories, that can be counted on the digits of a bormal human, if not one hand. They are usually publicized in liberal newspapers accompanies by a snickering ”I told you so conservatard”. Statistically they are nonsensical, the death rate is still what the death rate is.
Sam Adams
Member
Fri Jul 30 11:14:45
Seb, why are covid cases going down in the UK? You guys change your behavior or was that it for delta?
Forwyn
Member
Fri Jul 30 12:00:36
"We will see how many percentage points you are off."

Lol, no. We can see how many you are off. We can see how many those who overpredicted are off.

My prediction will land. You can bicker about percentages to see if you or habebe will snag 2nd.
Forwyn
Member
Fri Jul 30 13:03:13
Scratch that. Rugian's prediction will be objectively correct, as well.

You can bicker for 3rd.
jergul
large member
Fri Jul 30 13:34:20
Forwyn
Why bicker? The concept I was illustrating is correct. The US would seriously underperform.

Which frankly, none of you saw coming. Your and Ruggy's guesses are just edgelord shit.
Seb
Member
Fri Jul 30 13:49:45
Sam:

Not entirely clear - suspicion is primarily stats artefacts as sampling measures and anonymous surveys show a plateau, not drop.

Causes:
1. Schools out, and many schools broke up a weak or two early due to positive tests. As so many cases are in school aged kids, school being out has a real effect on new infections.

2. Holidays - people less likely to report lateral flow tests or get pcr tests if it will kill their summer holidays.

3. Better weather - more outdoor socialising less indoor socialising

4. The spike may have been inflated by the Euros - and once the Euros were over, less crowds socialising in pubs etc.

Will dig out a good thread summarising what the independent SAGE group think
Seb
Member
Fri Jul 30 13:53:48
http://twi...tatus/1421085900528787457?s=20
http://twitter.com/chrischirp/status/1421140117645836291?s=20
Seb
Member
Fri Jul 30 13:57:21
Basically, don’t really think cases have dropped (we ought to see declining positivity rates if so) - seems more likely the real story is a plateau (which is better than the expected continued growth) due to a mix of behavioural changes due to summer holidays and end of major sporting competition, continued self isolation and protective (perhaps even enhanced) behaviours as formal restrictions end.

We will know more in a few weeks I guess when we see hospital .
Seb
Member
Fri Jul 30 13:59:42
When I say cases dropped, I of course mean rate of new infections. If this was dropping due to e.g. the delta wave burning itself out, we’d see larger decline in proportion of tests showing positive.
Forwyn
Member
Fri Jul 30 14:06:24
"The concept I was illustrating is correct."

The date you predicted is objectively wrong.

"Your and Ruggy's guesses are just edgelord shit."

Our guesses are objectively correct. Ergo, the percentage gap would be misapplied here.
jergul
large member
Fri Jul 30 14:09:19
Forwyn
Wrong. Edgelord/price of right tacts are shiite and you know it.

We will see how many percentage points you are off.
jergul
large member
Fri Jul 30 14:10:56
Forwyn (rest of thread): But waah, I want my edgelord shit to work.
tumbleweed
the wanderer
Fri Jul 30 14:59:40
if they recommend a 3rd dose to be fully vaccinated jergul will win (depending what the rules were anyway)
Habebe
Member
Fri Jul 30 16:37:06
Jergul has said in the past that his estimate doesn't include extra vaccinnes.
jergul
large member
Fri Jul 30 16:58:42
By fully vaccinated, I meant two shots. But since Forwyn is pulling "objectively correct" bs, then I might very well counter with something like that.

The point was always that I doubted the US capacity to get shots into arms. Production is the easy part.
Wrath of Orion
Member
Fri Jul 30 16:58:47
It's not really a question of "if" regarding a booster, but when.
Forwyn
Member
Fri Jul 30 17:13:07
'"objectively correct" bs'

Lol. You got salty about being made fun of incessantly regarding your prediction, and invited others to do the same. We did. Now it's "edgelord shit"

It is either objectively correct, or wrong. If wrong, you can measure how off you were. If/then statements are not dependent upon your feelings.
jergul
large member
Fri Jul 30 17:55:33
Forwyn
Wrong. That is not how the game is played. We will see what percentages people are off by come January first.

Sorry that you did not get that when you came with your Johnny come lately November guess. But that is on you.
jergul
large member
Fri Jul 30 17:56:37
Alternately, we can wait for the 3rd dose recommendation and see who is objectively correct :D
Nimatzo
iChihuaha
Fri Jul 30 18:34:52
The EU will reach 50% before the USA from the looks of things. Quite the come back.
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