Welcome to the Utopia Forums! Register a new account
The current time is Mon Jul 07 06:38:37 UTC 2025

Utopia Talk / Politics / Crypto - Resistance is futile
Nimatzo
rank
Thu Jan 20 20:42:38 2022
Previous thread

http://uto...hread=89156&time=1642688787739

At first I thought I hijack murder's thread, but then I thought, why not have 3 threads about crypto :D

TheChildren
rank
Thu Jan 20 21:25:01 2022
blockchain is a myth u dumbfuck.

its a solution 2 a non existin problem.

in 10 years noone has ever used blockchain 4 anyone.

is like u sellin re usable toilet paper...yea no thx.

nhill
rank
Thu Jan 20 23:59:43 2022
And now volatility wakes up. Will this be the grand wick down? :)
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 00:11:19 2022
Half a billion dollars in bids just flooded the order books.

Looks like a low time frame deviation on BTC. Expecting further blood.

Gib blood!
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 00:29:54 2022
Deviation is when it pokes under support or above resistance and then dumps again. Also know as bear/bull traps.
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 00:31:45 2022
Deviations are why it's good to wait for confirmation when managing risk. The way to avoid them is waiting for the retest on a support / resistance flip before opening a position.

Of course, you don't always get it. But it'll increase your hit rate if you wait for it.

I'm not trading though, just reading the charts.

Still have plenty of stables ready to munch.
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 00:32:48 2022
Double deviation on low time frame right now. Downtrend going to resume here. BTC currently at 41480.
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 00:33:23 2022
Reiteration: http://i.k...s/newsfeed/002/210/781/82b.jpg
;)
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 00:57:08 2022
Nice little impulse wave from the 1 minute TD9 at $40,800. Temporary bottom here, with LTF support at 41K.

Have no faith in these holding yet.
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 00:59:50 2022
http://www.tradersdaytrading.com/tom-demark-indicators.html

^here's an explanation of what a TD9 is. Still trying to trickle bits of technical analysis to ya, Nim, even as I remember them. I'm not a trader anymore, but still use the old tricks to time entries.
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 01:01:35 2022
That was a pretty weak impulse, as expected, +1.2% before falling again. I'll be surprised if support holds here.
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 01:02:35 2022
That was an example of a potential high leverage scalp, could have had a 10% trade on 10X leverage there. (not my scene, just saying)
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 01:08:50 2022
$ATOM showing relative strength. Suspect it's going to catch a bid hard on the relief.
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 01:18:04 2022
$MOVR $NEAR $ATOM <- Relative strength right now.

But as I said about a week ago, the real liquidity is around 38K. Still would expect that to be touched before this is all said and done. We're so close and it's literally free money for all the exchanges.
Nimatzo
rank
Fri Jan 21 02:11:21 2022
Good stuff :) Always appreciated. Not been trading much, did an ICP trade some time ago for 20%, but that is it. But I try to use TA for entries like yourself.

I did not trust that pump, you know what I did, I even stopped looking :) there is no way we will have any moves up above major resistance before the fed meeting next week. Assuming they try to calm the markets that is.
Nimatzo
rank
Fri Jan 21 02:25:08 2022
Ve snapshot is tomorrow, so there may be a FTM sell off. I am buying back some more :D


ATOM/Cosmos is catching wind now in the broader cryptoverse chatter now. SCRT as well.
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 02:26:01 2022
Yep, FOMC is going to need to provide direction here. My guess is it'll be ugly, create some capitulation, and sweep the liquidity. Who knows though. Plan for all scenarios!
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 02:26:39 2022
> ATOM/Cosmos is catching wind now in the broader cryptoverse chatter now. SCRT as well.

Bout time. I felt lonely there for about half a year. :( The tribulations of the fundamental anaylzoooor
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 02:34:03 2022
IBC tech is freakin' awesome. And the Keplr wallet is the best crypto wallet I've ever used. Extremely bullish on the $ATOM and IBC eco.
Nimatzo
rank
Fri Jan 21 02:38:37 2022
Stables are loaded and prepared for the worst :) though I have a hard time imagining how the US incumbents are going to swallow that shit sandwich in an election year. Interesting week ahead!

Yea I am felt really bad for my Comos bag, but patience will save the day.

Don't know if you heard but ADA finally launched their DEX Sundaeswap. One giant congested shit show. lol :) Gotta hand it to their fan base though, they are loyal and patient. That is the one big leverage of ADA I guess, their fans will eat the congested turds and then one day many years from now the tortoise will win the race?
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 02:40:56 2022
I had a friend try to use DeFi on ADA for 6 hours and didn't get a single transaction to go through. Lol. Sad to see that this played out exactly as I expected. Vaporware. Maybe they just need to wait for their peer reviewers to review the transactions? lol
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 02:41:54 2022
It's a classic case of Sebs building a crypto. Hype up and get all the academic community enchanted by thousands of pages of white papers and peer reviewed studies.

Then when it comes to practical use, it's complete fail. Much like Seb's arguments.
Nimatzo
rank
Fri Jan 21 02:44:44 2022
"Maybe they just need to wait for their peer reviewers to review the transactions? lol"

ahahahahaha I almost woke up the family laughing dude :,)
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 02:45:14 2022
XD
Nimatzo
rank
Fri Jan 21 02:46:58 2022
I imagine Hoskins sitting in a broom closet validating all the transactions with an abacus. Oh my :,)
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 02:48:04 2022
> Stables are loaded and prepared for the worst :)

Smart man. It took me a while- and many potential millions forgone- to understand the importance of a beefy stable. No matter how bullish!
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 02:48:58 2022
> I imagine Hoskins sitting in a broom closet validating all the transactions with an abacus. Oh my :,)

Lmao
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 05:49:54 2022
Now we’re talking. Soak up those bids… and let’s hope 38K wasn’t spoofed ;)
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 06:05:16 2022
Yoooo that orderbook is DEEP. Over a billion dollars worth of bids from 29-38K.

Ahem.

"nhill
Member Sun Jan 16 12:28:08
Getting early signals in the charts that the market is prepping for some major volatility this week"

Charts don't lie!
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 06:20:34 2022
Not much of an impulse yet. Not a good sign. Would not be surprised to see it touch 34K-35K on stop/liquidation hunt.

Not sure if people have the guts to long on leverage here and provide enough fuel for the wick. But wouldn't surprise. Even I was claiming 38-39K all along, so I'm sure some people are chomping at the bit to get bids here.

But the volume is also lower than I expected in this range. Not going well so far, but, hey. When it wicks, it wicks. Hoping it can push $JEWEL into the $10 range :p
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 06:25:23 2022
$PTP is holding up really well here.

Back into the buy zone for HTF support, hasn't broke structure:

http://www.tradingview.com/x/caldZtnX

Probably a good bear market play TBH, as people will get caught in the $PTP flywheel while farming stables.

It's where I have most of my stables now.
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 06:26:07 2022
Capitulation could see it dip back down to $4 before a continuation, but, the stables are there if that happens :)
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 10:10:45 2022
$LUNA stronk.

gn
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 10:14:57 2022
(I don't think this is over yet, still need the capitulation wick IMO)
Nimatzo
rank
Fri Jan 21 11:27:49 2022
The suspense is killing me :)
TheChildren
rank
Fri Jan 21 12:10:45 2022
blockchain is a stinkin lie. u dumb fucks
Nimatzo
rank
Fri Jan 21 16:38:00 2022
Nhill
If they raise the rates this year there is a real risk for a recession in a fairly sensitive recovery period. Consider the current free fall at the mere talking of rate hikes. It will get really ugly once they materialize.
murder
rank
Fri Jan 21 16:46:58 2022

They are 100% going to raise interest rates. Multiple times. There's no if to it.

nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 16:54:00 2022
Yes, that will be bad for all risk assets, particularly the valuation of crypto projects. Crypto technology is another thing, but it'll be impossible to avoid the impacts of a wider recession in any risk asset class.
Nimatzo
rank
Fri Jan 21 17:00:43 2022
Winter is coming...
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 17:20:47 2022
Appears that way. Back to farming stables and scalping for a while? At least with farming stables you can outperform the S&P as it draws down ;)
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 18:02:52 2022
Getting the sense we're going to have another relief rally this weekend. Probably a dangerous one that will get sold hard at resistance.
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 18:03:50 2022
Slowly averaging into various things with my stables, but will most likely take some profits before Sunday afternoon.
Nimatzo
rank
Fri Jan 21 21:43:25 2022
"Back to farming stables and scalping for a while?"

Yepp and cooking meth :)
nhill
rank
Fri Jan 21 22:14:12 2022
I meant you, not Charles. ;)
nhill
rank
Sat Jan 22 01:09:13 2022
At $42395:

"nhill
Member Thu Jan 20 15:59:43
And now volatility wakes up. Will this be the grand wick down? :)"

Now:

$35459

Looks like the BTC bottom for today.

Man, what a ride! Felt this one coming.

Still have concerns that this isn't the monthly bottom (maybe not even weekly), but it looks like the wick is set for the daily at least.

Until it's not? :p

My stables are mostly deployed here for a relief rally.
Nimatzo
rank
Sat Jan 22 01:13:00 2022
We going back to 28k!
murder
rank
Sat Jan 22 01:15:41 2022

Somebody bought bitcoin at > $60,000

A moment of silence.

nhill
rank
Sat Jan 22 01:22:45 2022
Someone bought Peloton stock at > $150.

A moment of silence.
nhill
rank
Sat Jan 22 01:23:21 2022
And yes, RIP to all the Bitcoin top buyers too. See you in a few months!
nhill
rank
Sat Jan 22 01:25:19 2022
http://www.tradingview.com/x/qsC9uTH2/

All high beta risk assets are getting hammered this year. Fed gonna Fed.
nhill
rank
Sat Jan 22 01:27:28 2022
Good news is you can probably get some cheap treadmills soon.
nhill
rank
Sat Jan 22 01:29:25 2022
Highest volume day on the exchanges since May 21st. They got what they wanted. Now relief rally and dump again. :p
murder
rank
Sat Jan 22 01:38:02 2022

"Good news is you can probably get some cheap treadmills soon."

Not cheap enough. Peloton is French for 100% markup.

nhill
rank
Sat Jan 22 01:51:07 2022
But they taped an iPad on it, bro!
murder
rank
Sat Jan 22 03:04:23 2022

I'll take the treadmill with the android tablet.

Habebe
rank
Sat Jan 22 03:12:41 2022
ETH at 2547! I was happy to buy it at 3k.
nhill
rank
Sat Jan 22 08:06:22 2022
There's blood in the streets and it's probably going a fair amount lower. All of 2022 is looking bad for risk assets, macro-wise. Wouldn't be surprised to see it go on a slow burn of bounces and dips down to around $1500 by the end of the year. But, it's crypto. The slightest hint of macro recovery can spark it back up.
nhill
rank
Sat Jan 22 08:07:56 2022
I personally thought ETH would have gotten to around 10K this cycle-- it's pretty unusual for it to make new all-time highs months apart and both highs get rejected hard. Caught up in the macro headwinds.
nhill
rank
Sat Jan 22 09:15:50 2022
http://www.tradingview.com/x/e4zAv7e2

Massive bull flag on the $PTP/$AVAX pair, but this, of course, is dependent on a relief rally for $AVAX, and strictly sold into for me. Shame they didn't make their LP based on a stablecoin, would have been a great safe haven play.
Nimatzo
rank
Sat Jan 22 14:05:11 2022
Wow complete free fall...

I did expect see 2022 becoming this blood bath, I thought the shit fest would commence in 2023 and on wards when everything felt "normal" again. Though in hindsight considering every aspect of the pandemic was turned into a politicized circus, shame on me for ever entertaining the idea that the post pandemic recovery wouldn't be.

My dreams of retiring to become a ganja farmer will have to wait...
Nimatzo
rank
Sat Jan 22 14:06:52 2022
I did *not expect 2022 to become this blood bath*
Habebe
rank
Sat Jan 22 14:39:10 2022
Nimatzo, To be honest I'm excited. In my lay opinion many crypto is being undervalued due to macro causes.

One mans crisis is another's opportunity.

Plus I happen to have a bit of disposable income. Im not convinced they are at their bottoms but I have been looking into ETH, Solana and AAVE.Just following.
TheChildren
rank
Sat Jan 22 18:17:40 2022
pyramid scam is collpasin like a house of cards!!

murder
rank
Sat Jan 22 21:51:32 2022

It could always be worse. You could be El Salvador. There's going to be just enough money left to buy the rope to hang their "CEO" with. Their next president is going to be whoever the hell runs MS-13.



Nimatzo
rank
Sun Jan 23 05:08:44 2022
http://twitter.com/Rekt_Tekashi/status/1484401923449106432

lol
swordtail
rank
Sun Jan 23 19:31:42 2022
http://www...tcoin-economy-decentralization
Nimatzo
rank
Sun Jan 23 23:42:30 2022
Fantom TVL has exploded thanks to the Ve 3,3 snapshot, it is now third largest.
Nimatzo
rank
Sun Jan 23 23:43:22 2022
Habebe if you are looking to get into buying something that is severely undervalued, FTM is it.
Nimatzo
rank
Mon Jan 24 13:17:46 2022
Crash below 30k already. We know you want to.
murder
rank
Mon Jan 24 13:33:57 2022

Bitcoin was below 30k just 6 months ago. It won't be major news unless it drops below ~ 25k.

Nimatzo
rank
Mon Jan 24 13:39:33 2022
Stop cluttering the thread with your stupid comments murder.
nhill
rank
Mon Jan 24 16:29:17 2022
Yeah, bad vibes only man!

Bought some $wMEMO at 47K for the first time since selling $TIME around 7K.

Trading under backing price, why not. Although backing price can decrease based on the value of treasury assets, so it's not risk free... but they start buybacks under backing price, so I took a flier here.
nhill
rank
Mon Jan 24 16:59:50 2022
http://www.tradingview.com/x/f6kHwNWI

Bull flag still in play on the PTP/AVAX pair. Not that it matters too much right now, as a rally is predicated on $AVAX/$BTC stopping the bleeding.

I still have my position to boost the APR in the stable farms. Has held pretty well in the demand area: https://www.tradingview.com/x/uSoatD2S

Save the squiggle!
nhill
rank
Mon Jan 24 17:08:27 2022
http://pbs...c9Bw?format=jpg&name=4096x4096

Interesting dispersion from start of year.
nhill
rank
Mon Jan 24 18:11:37 2022
http://sno...85314b283a997321d2de8373268d76

As expected, million dollar buyback on $wMEMO.
TheChildren
rank
Mon Jan 24 18:22:14 2022
whats that sound?

dat da sound of ownage comin right at ya :D
TheChildren
rank
Mon Jan 24 18:27:09 2022
on ur left boi.

Habebe
rank
Mon Jan 24 18:27:11 2022
Nimatzo, Thanks I'll check into it.I may wait a bit and asses this crypto winter or whatever it is.

But I have a few K that's just sitting around and want to do something with it.
nhill
rank
Mon Jan 24 18:28:44 2022
http://www.tradingview.com/x/Nb1kc7u0 skipped my planned $JEWEL buy at $10 because market was dumping. Targeting $5-6 if we can get it before I buy. Sold initial bag around $21, been DCAing since. Hoping to reduce my cost basis under $10. Some new airdrops announced should stimulate demand heavily on this fabled relief rally, but it's all up to FOMC now.
nhill
rank
Mon Jan 24 19:06:36 2022
Habebe, couple things:

$FTM is a good play relative to $SOL.

$AAVE is a farming token, it's inflationary and given out as rewards for users of the platform. That caps the upside. It doesn't mean it'll perform badly, but something to be aware.

If I would make one recommendation for 2022, it would be $ATOM.

$ETH is a safe bet (relatively speaking), but it doesn't have a ton of upside as competitors keep taking away market share. $ATOM is a new paradigm... $ATOM to $ETH is like $ETH to $BTC, IMO.
TheChildren
rank
Mon Jan 24 19:11:41 2022
now is on ur right...

nhill
rank
Mon Jan 24 19:56:04 2022
http://www.tradingview.com/x/PmQTkkdK

Um... $MAGIC caught a 250% bid in 6 hours?

Epic.
nhill
rank
Mon Jan 24 19:57:24 2022
Shit TC, if you would have had your lunch money in $MAGIC, you'd be able to afford McDonalds tonight.
TheChildren
rank
Mon Jan 24 20:09:27 2022
i happen 2 be enjoyin chicken dinner 2night. juicy roasted chicken with some rice and some cabbage on da side.

owned, kid.
nhill
rank
Mon Jan 24 20:20:55 2022
Mommy cooking again tonight?
Nimatzo
rank
Mon Jan 24 20:25:06 2022
I put some more in the Trisolaris farm, but I stopped when things went into free fall. The shopping spree I had anticipated for 38k didn't happen. Put more stables into PTP.

LUNA is interesting to have in the mix, it seems to have limited down side even as everything is falling and quick to recover. LUNA and ATOM are definitely two I am increasing a stake in.

nhill
rank
Mon Jan 24 20:46:05 2022
Nice, I had more buys planned, too, but the nose dive prevented me from doing much more than loading up on $PTP and $ATOM. I used the $CRO-$ATOM LP on VSS Finance to yield farm my $ATOM position (along with the osmosis bags I already had packed).

$LUNA $FTM $ATOM $NEAR

These are my favorite L1 positions at the moment.
Habebe
rank
Mon Jan 24 23:04:07 2022
$ATOM cosmos?
Nimatzo
rank
Mon Jan 24 23:37:05 2022
Yepp
http://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/cosmos/
nhill
rank
Tue Jan 25 19:23:30 2022
http://www.tradingview.com/x/qrHoGkF9

This is insane and completely saved my portfolio...at portfolio all time highs again.

Been a lucky drawdown for me between $JEWEL and $MAGIC, my 'stablecoins' this time around. :p
nhill
rank
Tue Jan 25 19:24:35 2022
Also, that was an epic bull pennant on the chart. Didn't check it before bed last night but woke up pleasantly surprised.
nhill
rank
Tue Jan 25 19:28:28 2022
$JEWEL bought avg ~$6, sold avg ~$21, rebought avg ~$11 (risk free w/ double profits secured), now $8.58

$MAGIC bought avg ~$1.5, sold avg ~$4m rebought avg ~$2, now $3.56

These two plays along cancelled out all my losses from November and put in positive PnL.

Guess GameFI it is, who am I to argue w/ the market...
nhill
rank
Tue Jan 25 20:13:51 2022
http://twitter.com/thecosmicguild

Another GameFi project I'm eyeing. I bought a small locked amount today for $0.19 / $MAGIC (same ticker, I actually found it mistaking it for Treasure on Harmony).

High r/r play as it's currently locked (a little unlocks each block) but trading at $1.29. But it's an inconsequential amount. Still learning about their game, the information is super disorganized. Will load my bags more thoroughly if I like what I see.

2022 may be the year of GameFi, so I'm going to position a bit more aggressively.
Nimatzo
rank
Tue Jan 25 20:41:15 2022
That is really nice :)

I positioned carefully going into this year, much of trisolaris/NEAR farm is in a stable pair, also have big bets on the fundamentally strong chains we keep mentioning LUNA, FTM, ATOM and been taking profits into MIM stash. So considering this massive overreaction I managed to have a relative soft landing. +20% since October.

nhill
rank
Tue Jan 25 21:22:23 2022
Those are good choices and my primary allocations, too. Still have a hard time allocating a big chunk to individual GameFi projects, feel most comfortable in quality L1s like $ATOM.

But I'll be looking to add a diversified portfolio of GameFi stakes this year, that, in total, may approximate an L1 position.
nhill
rank
Tue Jan 25 21:24:21 2022
Also bought some call options on Microsoft today. Their earnings report should set the tone for the market tomorrow, and, with the recent nasdaq selloff, is primed. But I won't be exercising them. Will flip them tomorrow.
nhill
rank
Wed Jan 26 00:07:16 2022
No bueno on the call options.
nhill
rank
Wed Jan 26 01:00:38 2022
http://www.tradingview.com/x/0mmSKO3C

CyberDAO launched on FTM. Another GameFi position of mine. $20 was the presale price so you don't have to worry about getting dumped on later, at least right now.

I think that's the big problem with most $OHM clones, is they price the presale tokens at like a $100,000 market cap or something equally ridiculous. Then when it goes 20X you get the massive dumps. And usually they are whitelisted...hate white lists. This one was launched fairly. There was a whitelist based on engagement activities through discord, but they also have left many opportunities to buy at presale price because it sold at a market cap of $1,000,000. Much more reasonable.

8,498,711,867,137,368,000% APY right now, lol. Mainly because of the low amount of stakers (first rebase just happened). It'll taper out. I have no idea why these projects think quoting APY is a good idea at this point, but whatever. It's 4.0607% inflation on the next rebase. That's all the matters. Perfect opportunity to get in before the rebases dilute the cap.
nhill
rank
Wed Jan 26 01:42:07 2022
Well, I spoke too soon. Looks like my Microsoft calls are going to print money in the morn'!
show deleted posts