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Utopia Talk / Politics / lol jergul
Sam Adams
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Sat Feb 28 22:53:17
Your beloved soviet air defense couldn't even give irans supreme leader 4 seconds of life during this war.

obaminated
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Sun Mar 01 02:07:06
Lol jergul
jergul
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Sun Mar 01 03:30:48
So tribalist. And nub numbers.

"The Ukrainian General Staff reports that yesterday, Russian bombers dropped 328 FAB UMPK bombs during 103 strikes"

Iran loses if Iranians want to lose. As already mentioned
Sam Adams
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Sun Mar 01 04:16:23
How come none of those are over kiev
jergul
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Sun Mar 01 05:57:07
Nothing they need to use fixed wing aircraft to bomb worth the slight diplomatic inconvenience it would cause Belarus by using its airspace to attack through.

On a broader note, Russia judges it could not hope for a better regime to fight against and has no interest in creating a failed state on its frontier.
Sam Adams
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Sun Mar 01 06:00:28
Lol. It's never because you can't, it's because you don't want to.

The reason I haven't won the Superbowl personally or have my own toy f16 is that I don't want to.

Lol.
jergul
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Sun Mar 01 06:05:31
Geography fail sammy. Kiev is in easy FAB range from the Belarus frontier.
Sam Adams
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Sun Mar 01 06:24:53
"I can't win in the Ukraine because I don't want to"

Lmfao
jergul
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Sun Mar 01 13:58:59
That is ultimately the calculation. It basically amounts to an insurrection at this point. Russia putters along because it does not want a failed state on its frontier.

Its not like it matters. What would change for Russia in a good way if it accepted Ukraine's peace ideas tomorrow?
Sam Adams
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Mon Mar 02 01:04:27
https://x.com/hey_itsmyturn/status/2028242315777605812?s=20

Lol jergul.

Your air defense is so good. Reapers are plodding along at 110 knots shooting up your military, unmolested.

Shit 4 Germans with a primitive 88 could have outperformed Soviet AAA.
obaminated
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Mon Mar 02 01:11:26
Wow. I thought you were exaggerating.
Rugian
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Mon Mar 02 01:11:31
"What would change for Russia in a good way if it accepted Ukraine's peace ideas tomorrow?"

You mean aside from putting an end to the million+ casualties it has already suffered?

I guess to some degree Russia needs the war to continue, as GDP is going to absolutely collapse the second all that military spending stops.
jergul
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Mon Mar 02 01:30:32
Sammy
Send in the B-52s if you feel it is safe now. You could, but you dont want to you say? Rofl.

Force preservation in other words. Iran is gearing for a long war which Israel and the US definitely cannot sustain. You have like 4 days of ammunition left or something? According the Pentagon sources.

Ruggy
Mediazona has 200k killed right now. Including people from Ukrainian territories serving the the Russian Armed Forces.
jergul
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Mon Mar 02 01:33:32
Not sure you would think government spending will stop in any event. You could say that spending and gdp growth would become more centralized again when combat payments to rural solldiers end, but that would be about it.
Rugian
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Mon Mar 02 02:08:11
Jergul

Massive wartime spending is ultimately harmful to GDP - the short-term boost eventually gives way to the long-term stagnation caused by the (now) years' worth of under-investment in more beneficial sectors of the economy.

Sukhoi is having a grand old time with this whole war I'm sure. The rest of the Russian economy, not so much.

Rugian
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Mon Mar 02 02:11:18
^ As an aside, I was originally going to write UVZ and Sukhoi in that post, but turns out UVZ is actually struggling financially, due in no small part to Western sanctions.

Yeah...Russia is speedrunning hermit kingdom status at this rate.
jergul
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Mon Mar 02 02:20:47
Ruggy
Most of the spending is payroll. Like 85% or something when you include payroll everywhere. Sukhoi is a state owned company incidentally. Like most of the MIC. Including UVZ.

The defining thing is income transfers from center to the perifery as rural combatants are overrepresented in the combat zone.

Payroll is another way of saying consumer spending or consumer savings.
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